2020 Political Prediction Conference
Presented by American Civics Exchange and OldBull.TV

Opening remarks

Flip Pidot, American Civics Exchange and Old Bull TV

Flip Pidot opens the conference.

Hour 1:
Models vs. Markets

Harry Crane, Associate Professor of Statistics and Co-Graduate Director, Rutgers University

Hour 2:
Black Boxes and Black Swans: A Disrupter's Guide to Better Election Forecasting

Rachel Bitecofer, Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University, Senior Fellow at the Niskanen Center

Hour 3:
Predicting Across the Pond: How Cultures & Regulators Help or Hinder Markets' Ability to See the Future

Patrick Young, Intrade co-founder; Matthew Shaddick, Ladbrokes Head of Politics Betting; Sarbjit Bakhshi, Smarkets Head of Political Markets

Hour 4:
Pro Political Traders Share their Secrets

Jeff Joseph, Luckbox Magazine and The Political Trade podcast; Derek Phillips; Pratik Chougule; Jason Pipkin

Hour 5:
Mapmaker, Mapmaker: The Whiz Kids of Political Cartography

Eric Cunningham, Elections Daily; Drew Savicki, freelance political analyst/mapper; J. Miles Coleman, UVA Center for Politics

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