A political forecasting project using the RAND-pioneered Delphi method.
We invited a panel with diverse expertise (statisticians, professional election betters, campaign vets, pundits, and academics) to make and justify forecasts through our platform, then revise based on the anonymized forecasts of the other panelists, until a consensus emerges.
We hope this framework may outperform existing political forecasting methods on outcomes including:
2020 Presidential primaries and general election.
What the 116th Congress will accomplish.
The next Supreme Court battle.
APPLY TO JOIN OUR PANEL OF EXPERTS
If you’d like to be considered for inclusion in our panel of experts, please fill out this form and we’ll get right back to you.